Joe Biden holds lead over Donald Trump in battleground states as race tightens

The 2020 presidential election is less than two months away. A new CNBC/Change Research States of Play survey took a closer look at the issues that are important to the voters in battleground states. CNBC's Eamon Javers reports. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: https://cnb.cx/2NGeIvi

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in six 2020 swing states, as the Republican National Convention changed little in the race for the White House, according to a new CNBC/Change Research poll.

Across Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the former vice president holds a 49% to 45% edge over the Republican incumbent, the survey released Wednesday found. It compares with a 49% to 46% edge Biden held in a poll taken two weeks ago, after the Democratic National Convention but before the GOP’s nominating events.

Biden holds at least a narrow lead in all six of the states, which will play a major role in determining who wins the White House on Nov. 3. Here is where the race stands in all of those states, and how it has changed from the last survey:

Arizona: Biden 49%, Trump 45% (was Biden 49%, Trump 47%)
Florida: Biden 49%, Trump 46% (unchanged)
Michigan: Biden 49%, Trump 43% (was Biden 50%, Trump 44%)
North Carolina: Biden 49%, Trump 47% (was Biden 48%, Trump 47%)
Pennsylvania: Biden 50%, Trump 46% (was Biden 49%, Trump 46%)
Wisconsin: Biden 50%, Trump 44% (was Biden 49%, Trump 44%)
The poll, taken Friday through Sunday, surveyed 4,143 likely voters across the six states and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.4 percentage points.

It shows a race changing little even in a period where presidential candidates can see a temporary bump after they inundate voters at their nominating conventions. Though Biden’s lead in both national and swing-state polling averages has fallen from highs seen during the worst of the coronavirus pandemic in June and July, the CNBC/Change Research polls find the presidential race largely unchanged by events in recent weeks.

The survey released Wednesday found swing-state voters’ views of Trump and Biden have not meaningfully changed over the last two weeks. This week, 45% of respondents said they have favorable feelings about Trump, versus 52% who said they view him unfavorably. It compares with a 46% to 51% favorable to unfavorable spread two weeks ago.

Opinions on Biden did not budge at all. In Wednesday’s survey, 45% of likely voters said they had a favorable view of the Democratic nominee, while 49% responded that they had unfavorable feelings about him. The numbers were the same two weeks ago.

Respondents were asked to choose the three most important issues facing the country. The most common choice was the economy, jobs and cost of living, picked by 43% of likely voters, followed by political corruption at 38%. Another 35% of respondents chose Covid-19, followed by law and order at 29%, and racism and discrimination at 27%.

The major parties have drastically different views on the most important issues. Among Democrats, 61% chose Covid-19 and 51% picked racism and discrimination. But among GOP voters, 58% chose law and order — a common rhetorical device Trump uses to criticize protests against police brutality and racism — and 53% picked the economy, jobs and cost of living.

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100+ comentarios:

Brad Blades:

"Hillary Clinton has a 98% chance of winning"

Fool me once, shame on you... fool me twice...

James P.:

“Anonymous sources” confirm these poll numbers

B Mart:

Ive been to several battlegrounds, no biden stickers to be found.

R!ckey:

They still lie to our faces despite knowing we no longer believe their farce of a program

Andrew Bondsteel:

I don't know about you, but theres more "now hiring" signs in my town than "Biden signs"

Ron Contreras:

I don't know what you guy's are smoking but it must be really good!

Carm 22:

The dislike ratio says a lot! No way is Biden leading! Media says one thing, & we as voters see something different with our own eyes!! 🤦🏽‍♀️🤦🏽‍♀️

amy w:

Yea...I totally trust this news source. No agenda going on here!!

G Younkins:

Whenever I see internet polls I just click Biden because it's funny. What's my motivation to tell pollsters the truth?

Foreverhis:

Now that’s a hilarious title!
Just who exactly do you think will believe that!!!😂😂😂😂

Patriot77:

*2 things you should always accept as true:*
1) Biden is leading
2) Jeffrey Epstein killed himself
__

457jinzo:

Yeah. Nobody believes you, no matter how many times you say it.

Enemy of the people.

:

Every time the media uses "anonymous sources" they literally just made it up and there are no actual sources

cartgamerYT carter:

Joey B couldn't lead himself down a hallway 🤪

Boojyman:

This sounds familiar. I cant put my dumb lower class finger on it... almost as if the same thing was being said in 2016.. poor old me the media got me again

Matt Pizzano:

Did you take a cocaine test before conducting this poll? Come on, man!

Sha'Ron Guillory:

The polls showed Hilary winning....we all know how that went 😂🤣

Walter Higo:

FACT:
Hillary's lead in 2016 was larger than that of Biden's.
We all know what happened on election day
#JustSaying

bdawk20:

"BIDEN'S STILL WINNING! HE'S STILL WINNING!" the media screeched desperately while clutching their pearls and the rest of the country laughed at them

Michael St Cyr:

There's no way bumbling Joe is holding a 9 point lead with his stand on fracking

AkmSKS21 Hill:

Who all remembers when they said the same about Hillary 😂 😆 😂

D Jones:

So sick of the BS! Press needs to stop insulting our intelligence.

Sw86 Sw86:

All I know as an ex Democrat I'm voting straight red this election. This insanity needs to stop.

james patterson:

just drove across 6 states...trump signs everywhere...a handful of biden…

Mac C:

So did Hillary. But now Trump gets 20% black vote vs the 10% he got four years ago, plus Dade County fla. and Philadelphia are much more supportive of Trump then last election. Throw fracking issue and Trump easily gets Ohio Penn and Florida. It’s a virtual lock for Him

Chris Dodson:

uh. . . there's a helluva lot of writing on the wall and it says that Biden gets creamed in Nov.

44oaktree:

What a liar !!
Such a fake media and polls!!!

PrayToEscape:

The dems KNOW Biden HAS LOST. For them, it's all about stealing the election by CREATING election day total chaos

Kansas Geoff:

"My name is Joe Biden and I, uh, well, um."

Nick Morrison:

“Hey I’ve seen this one before!” “Wdym it’s brand new?”

David price:

They have to continue this lie so when they try to steal the election it will look legitimate

Buzz Bee:

How long can they keep Joe Hidden in his basement?

Kyle Kyle:

“Biden holds lead over Trump”

The like/dislike ratio tells otherwise.

Agent Orange:

Yes, dead voters approve of Joe Biden at nearly a 100% rate.

Wynette Greer:

All lies !!! Every thing they say are lies ! They are so disgusting

World Record Ricky:

I don’t remember ever being asked to take any of these polls everyone keeps talking about. Guess they must have missed me.

Jj Av:

The polls were wrong in 2016 and never corrected. Biden leading? Only d suckers and losers has not changed their minds.

Sheree Rockdaschel:

And that is a bold face lie . There’s nothing stable about Joe Biden

Michael Mike:

I will take a real raw Republican any day over a deceitful Democrat.

Bryochemical Intuition:

Lol yeah okay media. We're voting Trump. Get over it!

Tony Zone:

The youtube community is aware of the media lies and deceitfulness

Jack Braddell:

Joe Biden "If you ain't Looting you ain't black"

EAGLE SHIELD:

💪🇺🇸#INDEPENDENTLATINO1776
"Off the mental plantation since 2016"

Ivote4trump2spitetheleft:

Your polls are like your news anchors, all fake.

black voice:

Biden holds a lead? How's that when he's got 3x as many thumbs downs than that of thumbs ups on every channel he's on?
Someone must be triple counting Biden votes.

Roger Rice:

Me and bigfoot are watching this while the lockness monster is cooking breakfast

Victor Rene:

Yeah sure. These are fake polls. They didn't learn from last time.

tims_always_fishing:

LMFAO, Biden is winning in Michigan!?!? Ya sure, because I see alot of sleepy sniffy creepy joe signs.

L彬彬:

The news that lies 100% of the time told you this.

will27ns:

Did old Joe get new plugs? He has more hair than he did 50 years ago.
I can't even get a freakin' haircut in my state!

SAW Gunner:

I'm not here to watch your show, just to report that I can't believe anything you say.

snow dogz:

Hey Joe it's 6:30 pm do u know what time it is?

kingtut777:

And pigs have wings in Huston .

Sir Snails417:

It's time the media walks away from the democrats before they lose it all

jorge quenano:

The audacity if these medias are overwhelming. As if their confidence telling them that they are right this time. Lol

:

I see 5 statistical ties 🤣😂🤣😂

Y’all are getting desperate now.

Anthony Quantrill:

Lead? If this is a horse race, ol' sleepy Joe Sniffy is still in the barn and afraid to come outside.

Wood Grenade:

Lol I seen a T-shirt that had Trump on it laughing and it said I told you polls were for strippers 😂

JC JJ:

US enemy China aka virus origin, prefers Joe biden

Michael B:

Hey I’ve seen this one before!

Not YoDaddy:

In other news , unicorns have been spotted in the Rocky Mountains riding on a rainbow of glitter farts.

Spiral:

I remember these same type of polls back in 2016 lmao

richies quest:

You can't stop the TRUMP TRAIN arriving at a station near you 2020

Vivian Register:

"45th 💩KNEW
FEBRUARY 7th"
😭😭😭😭😭😭

"MANAGEMENT ALERT DHS
CLOSE THE CAMPS"
HARRIS/BIDEN 💙💙💙💙💙💙

cindy targett:

OK HOLD YOUR HANDS ON A BIBLE AND TELL THE TRUTH SO H3LP YOU GOD .....MAINSTREAM MEDIA, LYING AGAIN 🤥 🙄

Paul Healey:

Does anyone actually believe that Biden is leading in the polls. Nobody with half a brain does.

Don Rit:

Uhm... Didn't you say the exact same thing about Hilary?
Remind me, how did that turn out?

Roflmao

diRiG:

These polls are confirmed false.

Bobby Kirl:

I’ve taken a couple. Robo calls

Nevose:

🤣😂 No, this is not true. Hilarious but not true.

The d6 of fate:

Lies ahead. These paid shills are what's wrong with this country.

Yves:

Give it time, joe biden would forget he’s running for president in November

Michael Rouse:

😂😂😂 Media meltdown less than 2 mo away! I trust gas station sushi over the word of the media.

Jeana Wallace:

Hahaha I think your poll results are a just a tad bit BS 🤷‍♀️🤷‍♀️

Elias Ziad:

You can dream Arizona is democrat, haven't happened in 26 years.

El Hijo del Chupacabra:

Hello, greetings from Macomb County Michigan.
I believe in yard signs polls, Trump is winning in a landslide here.

Ilona Klosowska:

Please, we need the TRUTH!

Mister Joe:

When you pull the bud out of the bag.
Then get a paper and realize...
You forgot to grind it.

Alexandria Johnson:

Funniest SNL bit I've seen in a long time!

Kasturi Majumder:

A moment of silence for those who actually believe in your poll result.

Victory N.:

Are you out of your mind? Trump 2020👍

Mic Che:

Where's my second stimulus check man!

ItBeRyan:

HEY! I've seen this one before!

ORANGE MQNSTER:

**QUEEN JAMES** #MADEINCHINA 😆

Brandon Thiriot:

Just in! Polls show that almost everybody dislikes CNBC. You are literally losing a poll on your own video, look at the dislikes!

Athena SIXsixSIX:

No wonder I’m broke.. he stole all my money 💰

California Prince:

He is lost. No people only him, photographer, and security, lol.

XxAverageJoexX:

LMAO! Yeah okay 👌🏼🤣😂

Steve:

I am from the Netherlands the media here is still copying democratic "news" from CNN. A lot of people don't buy it anymore.

MISSY SCHUTZ:

Lmao! funniest thing I’ve seen all day. Media is dead.

Ron LaFond:

Bahahaha! Hahahaha!

robert talavera:

all my friends and family from California are voting for trump :) trump 2020

Kaizaro123:

I wish these stations would be required to disclose the measures they take to ensure that there is no bias in polling results and that they are reliable. Right now conservatives are making the exact same claims about their candidate, so what is the public to do? Use their gut instincts to decide which is the correct poll as happened in 2016?